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How to Buy JP Morgan Stock Now, Forecast and Dividend Guide

November 23, 2021 17:25

Being the largest US bank in terms of held assets, JP Morgan stock is an obvious choice for those who want to invest in the banking sector. In this analysis, we will determine whether or not to buy JP Morgan Chase stock is a good investment idea. To do this, we will look in detail at the bank’s business and strengths. We will also look at its forecasts, and provide an easy tutorial for buying and trading JP Morgan stock.

JP Morgan Stock Overview 

The JP Morgan stock is listed in the United States on the NYSE. JP Morgan stock ticker is JPM, and its ISIN code is US46625H1005. In addition, JPM is a component of the most prestigious US stock indices such as the Dow Jones and the S&P 500.

The American bank is based in New York, and its CEO is Jamie Dimon, who regularly speaks on the financial media to express his views on the markets. It is the largest US bank in terms of assets. Its services range from retail banking to wealth management to investment banking.

Investors should note that 27% of its revenues come from retail banking, while market operations and investment banking represent 55% of its revenues. But JP Morgan is currently focusing more on retail banking. Indeed, in 2018 it announced a $20 billion plan to open 400 branches in new markets over five years.

So far, JP Morgan has opened 230 new branches under this plan. During the release of Q2 2021 results, the bank announced that this plan exceeded expectations, having generated over $7 billion in deposits and investments.

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JP Morgan Stock History

Below, we will look at the historical evolution of the JP Morgan shares.

JP Morgan Stock Evolution 

JP Morgan stock today (or “JPM”, according to the official JP Morgan stock symbol) is the result of the 1996 merger of Chase Manhattan Bank and JP Morgan. Since then, the group has made acquisitions including Bank One in 2004 and Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual in 2008.

The recent JP Morgan stock history, has been marked by crises, including the 2000s internet crisis, which led to a 2-year downward trend. The 2008 financial crisis also caused JP Morgan share to plunge until the beginning of 2009.  Finally, the last major crisis that caused JP Morgan stock to fall was the 2020 coronavirus pandemic. However, the stock is currently already well above its pre-pandemic levels.

JP Morgan Stock Price Chart 

This section will analyse the historical evolution of the JP Morgan stock price, based on the monthly JP Morgan chart. We will focus on the movements of the stock since the 2000s.

The JP Morgan stock chart shows that the crisis of the 2000s led to a drop in the JP Morgan share price from around 67$ in March 2000 to a low of about 15$ in October 2002. The JP Morgan stock price was thus divided by more than 6 in over 2 years.

Between 2003 and 2013, JP Morgan stock quotes experienced uncertainty concerning its long-term trend. Indeed, it moved between a high of around $54 and a low of around $15, implying considerable volatility with no clear direction.

In 2013, a powerful uptrend began, that would take JPM  to a high of $141 in January 2020. During this period, JP Morgan stock quotes increased almost tenfold in 7 years!

As for many stocks, JPM then collapsed in the face of the coronavirus pandemic. As such, it fell to a low of $77 in March 2020, its value halving in under 3 months. But the post-pandemic rebound of JP Morgan stock was rapid and powerful. Indeed, the stock reached a new ATH in October 2021 at $171 – a 120% rise over 18 months.

Finally, investors should note that it is possible to spot a very long-term uptrend line on JP Morgan’s monthly chart, supporting the price since March 2009. Moreover, this trend line stopped the stock’s plunge in the face of the 2020 covid-19 pandemic. In other words, the very long-term trend in JP Morgan stock today is very clearly upwards.

Why Invest in JP Morgan Share Now? Points to Consider

Let’s look at some arguments for buying JP Morgan stock from a medium- to long-term perspective.

An ambitious retail banking development plan 

As explained earlier, JPM is implementing a massive expansion plan in retail banking. And while this plan is only just over halfway rolled out, results are already there as the bank announced that its new branches have brought in $7 billion in deposits and investments. We can therefore expect the share of the bank size in the revenues of JP Morgan to increase.

Given that retail banking currently accounts for just over 25% of JP Morgan’s revenue, and investment banking for over 50%, the growth of the retail banking business will reduce the risk profile of JP Morgan’s stock by spreading its revenue streams more evenly. In addition, retail banking revenues are generally more stable than revenues from other banking businesses.

JPM Stock, one of the best shares bets to take advantage of inevitable rate hikes

Like all banks, JPM shares should benefit significantly from the rise in central bank rates that we can expect over the next few years. Indeed, in the face of the pandemic, central banks around the world have reduced their rates to zero or almost zero.

Bank profitability highly depends on the central banks’ key rates. Indeed, banks borrow at central bank rates, then lend to their customers at a higher rate, to make a margin. The higher the central bank rates, the higher the bank’s margin on the loans it grants. In other words, JP Morgan’s revenues and profitability are expected to increase as rates rise, especially in the US.

Robust financial results

To say the least, JP Morgan has a history of exceeding expectations regarding its quarterly results. In fact, earnings per share and revenue have exceeded average analyst expectations for the past 5 consecutive quarters. Since 2015, JP Morgan has only posted EPS below expectations in 3 quarters. Income, meanwhile, was only below expectations twice in 28 quarters.

In other words, JP Morgan’s earning releases are usually bullish events for the stock price. Statistically, there is no reason to think the next few quarters should not also bring pleasant surprises that will support JP Morgan share price.

JP Morgan Stock Dividend Information 

Another major benefit of JP Morgan Chase stock is that it pays a solid quarterly dividend of $0.90 per share, or a yield of 2.4%. This is a higher yield than the average dividend paid by companies included in the S&P 500 Index.

In addition, JP Morgan dividend payments have grown by an average of 16% per year over the past 10 years. We can thus expect JP Morgan stock dividend to continue to grow in the future.

In fact, during its Q2 2021 earnings call, the company announced that it plans to increase its quarterly dividend to $1 per share soon. Finally, we should note that with a payout ratio of only 26%, JP Morgan stock dividend may be as safe as secure. Indeed, the company has the margin to maintain its payments to its shareholders even if profits drop dramatically.

JP Morgan Stock Forecast and Prediction 

Now, we will look at the JP Morgan stock forecast by studying it from different angles.

JP Morgan Financial Forecast

For JP Morgan’s next quarterly release in January 2022, the economists’ consensus forecast is for EPS of $2.87. This would mean a 9% increase in profits compared to the same 2021 quarter.

On the revenue side, consensus anticipates $29.55 billion in revenue, up 3% year-over-year. However, as pointed out earlier, JPM has a strong tendency to exceed analysts’ expectations, and often by a wide margin. Therefore, there is every reason to believe that these upcoming results will also be a pleasant surprise that will support JP Morgan stock price.

JP Morgan Stock Analysts forecasts

Analyst forecasts for JP Morgan Chase stock are overwhelmingly optimistic. Indeed, out of the 10 professional analysts who follow the stock, 7 recommend buying, 2 recommend holding, and only one displays a negative opinion.  The average target posted by these analysts for the next 12 months is $176, corresponding to a potential upside of nearly 7% compared to the current JP Morgan stock quotes.

However, note that some analysts are more optimistic than others. For example, analysts at Wells Fargo Bank anticipate a rise to $200, corresponding to a 21% upside potential.

JP Morgan Stock Forecast: Technical Analysis 

Let’s move on to the analysis of the JP Morgan stock chart, using the weekly chart.

The chart confirms that the JP Morgan share has been in a powerful uptrend since the low of $77 in the face of the covid-19 March 2020. Indeed, JP Morgan stock marked an ATH of $171 in early October 2021. As a result, the share has posted a 15-month increase of more than 120%.

The positive trend in JP Morgan shares is highlighted by several uptrend lines, the most recent one started at the beginning of 2021. In addition, JPM stock is also supported by a critical support zone at $140-145. On the upside, the psychological threshold of $200 is an ideal target from a charting perspective.

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Where Can I Buy JP Morgan Stock?

To trade JPM stocks, you need to open an account with a reliable and regulated broker, such as ZFX. ZFX is an efficient and secure broker which allows you to invest in JMP and many other stocks in a few simple steps. It also provides the MT4 trading platform, which is the most widely used globally. This broker also offers competitive fees, a free demo account and free learning resources to help you improve your trading strategy.

How Can I Buy JP Morgan Stock Easily?

Buying JP Morgan stock through ZFX is simple and fast. The account opening is done entirely online and takes only a few minutes. All you have to do is follow the following steps.

1 – Register with ZFX

For this first step, you will need to go to the ZFX broker’s website, and click on the “open an account” button. You will then have to fill in a registration form with several personal details, including your phone number, which will be verified by SMS.

Trade Walmart - Step 1

After filling out the form, click on “Next” at the bottom of the page. Immediately after this step, ZFX will display your MT4 login and password, and invite you to download the platform.MT4 Login

2 – Make your first deposit

To do this, click on “Make a deposit” on the screen displayed immediately after registration.

You will then be asked to choose a payment method: bank transfer or credit card.

trade Facebook stock with ZFX - Step 3

Here, you will need to indicate the deposit amount and then click on “Confirm Deposit”. You will then be asked for your credit card information before the final validation of the payment.

3 – Account verification

Finally, it will also be necessary to proceed with the account verification by sending supporting documents. As shown below, you’ll need to upload the documents directly to the ZFX website.trade Facebook shares with ZFX - Step 4

4 – Buy JPM stock

Once your documents are validated, you will then be ready to buy JPM stock. You will be able to do so via the MT4 platform. Simply download MT4 and log in, using the details sent to you by ZFX. You will then access your dashboard, where you can look up JPM stock and invest as you wish.

Bottom Line: Should I Buy JP Morgan Stock Now?

JPM is a share that interest many investors. Indeed, in addition to its exemplary track record – which shows that the stock has emerged stronger from every crisis – JP Morgan Chase stock is also a solid dividend stock, which appeals to long-term and income-oriented investors.

This analysis also shows that the outlook for JP Morgan stock is favorable. Indeed, the rise in US rates that should take place over the next few years could improve the bank’s profitability significantly. Moreover, technical analysis confirms a long-term upward trend. Finally, analysts are almost unanimous in their recommendation to buy JP Morgan shares.

If you wish to boost the performance of your portfolio by including the JP Morgan share, you can invest in JPM today thanks to ZFX. ZFX offers the world’s most popular and powerful MT4 platform and competitive fees, as well as being highly regulated.

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