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ZFX: 伊拉克将补偿减产 油价预计有支持 - Zeal Capital Market

ZFX: 伊拉克将补偿减产 油价预计有支持

15-09-2020 09:21

基本面:

昨(14日)欧佩克公布了8月份的月报,指出需求下降与美页岩油复苏将带给油价冲击,但沙特竟在当月选择了增产,或许是为了抢占美页岩油的市占率,抑或是想给不遵守减产的成员国一点教训。毕竟,从5月份开始实施的减产措施不是给美国做嫁衣的,那可能就是为了让不守规矩的会员国知道减产的重要性,以提升低迷的油价。

ZFX分析师Steven Chen表示,欧佩克第二大产油国伊拉克在8月份履行了减产补偿也出乎众人意料,常态性的违规增产或是未达减产规模已经让市场习惯了,但在美页岩油复苏之际迭加沙特调降10月份出口油价之下,伊拉克近来表示,将继续补偿减产,或能支撑油价回稳。

技术面:

ZFX: 伊拉克将补偿减产 油价预计有支持 - Zeal Capital Market

以4小时图观察,昨日油价(美油) 持续窄幅震荡于37.2(斐波那契回调位61.8%)~37.5(斐波那契回调位50%),但于37.2一带频频受到支撑,故今日操作以回调低多为主,激进者可于37.2一带先行介入多单,第一目标位37.8、第二目标位38.1、止损36.8。稳健者可于36.9(斐波那契回调位78.6%)再行进场、第一目标位37.5、第二目标位38.1、止损36.4。

操作建议:

激进者(Risk Lover) (约1倍ATR止损1-2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

开仓
open position
止损
Stop-loss
目标
Take-profit
回调做多

buy limit

37.2 36.8 37.8~38.1

稳健者(Risk Averter) (约1倍ATR止损1~2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

开仓
open position
止损
Stop-loss
目标
Take-profit
回调做多

buy limit

36.9 36.4 37.5~38.1

风险提示:以上内容仅供参考,不代表ZFX立场,ZFX不承担根据本文所进行任何买卖操作而导致的任何形式损失。请坚定自己的思路,做好相应风险控制。