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ZFX: 伊拉克將補償減產 油價預計有支持 - Zeal Capital Market

ZFX: 伊拉克將補償減產 油價預計有支持

15-09-2020 09:21

基本面:

昨(14日)歐佩克公佈了8月份的月報,指出需求下降與美頁岩油復甦將帶給油價衝擊,但沙特竟在當月選擇了增產,或許是為了搶占美頁岩油的市佔率,抑或是想給不遵守減產的成員國一點教訓。畢竟,從5月份開始實施的減產措施不是給美國做嫁衣的,那可能就是為了讓不守規矩的會員國知道減產的重要性,以提升低迷的油價。

ZFX分析師Steven Chen表示,歐佩克第二大產油國伊拉克在8月份履行了減產補償也出乎眾人意料,常態性的違規增產或是未達減產規模已經讓市場習慣了,但在美頁岩油復甦之際疊加沙特調降10月份出口油價之下,伊拉克近來表示,將繼續補償減產,或能支撐油價回穩。

技術面:

ZFX: 伊拉克將補償減產 油價預計有支持 - Zeal Capital Market

以4小時圖觀察,昨日油價(美油) 持續窄幅震盪於37.2(斐波那契回調位61.8%)~37.5(斐波那契回調位50%),但於37.2一帶頻頻受到支撐,故今日操作以回調低多為主,激進者可於37.2一帶先行介入多單,第一目標位37.8、第二目標位38.1、止損36.8。穩健者可於36.9(斐波那契回調位78.6%)再行進場、第一目標位37.5、第二目標位38.1、止損36.4。

操作建議:

激進者(Risk Lover) (約1倍ATR止損1-2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
回調做多

buy limit

37.2 36.8 37.8~38.1

穩健者(Risk Averter) (約1倍ATR止損1~2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
回調做多

buy limit

36.9 36.4 37.5~38.1

風險提示:以上內容僅供參考,不代表ZFX立場,ZFX不承擔根據本文所進行任何買賣操作而導致的任何形式損失。請堅定自己的思路,做好相應風險控制。