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ZFX: 美联储提高升息标准 黄金多头再接再厉? - Zeal Capital Market

ZFX: 美联储提高升息标准 黄金多头再接再厉?

17-09-2020 09:45

基本面:

今(17日)凌晨美联储对本年美国GDP预期由-6.5%调整至-3.7%、失业率则从9.3%下修至7.6%,且维持每月购买的资产配置与公债,透露出美联储对今年美国经济的复苏状况看法倾向乐观。消息提振了市场情绪,但也提振了长期美债殖利率,与美指回升连手抑制了金价的上涨。

ZFX分析师Steven Chen表示,短期内,相信美联储未必推出更大力度的刺激政策,稳定了美汇走势。昨日金价短在线遭到美联储〝鸽中带鹰〞的消息所打压,不过新通胀框架允诺了通胀可高于2%并持续一段时间,市场预期未来几年内都难以看到美联储会有加息的动作,始终可成为黄金的长期支撑。再者,全球宽松货币政策与疫情的肆虐,黄金具备抗通胀与避险两大属性,将继续受到投资者的追捧。

技术面:

ZFX: 美联储提高升息标准 黄金多头再接再厉? - Zeal Capital Market

以小时图观察,昨日金价在1973一带遇到卖压,随后自日高回落至1957(斐波那契回调位23.6%)一线。于今亚盘时段短线下破1947(斐波那契回调位38.2%)一线支撑,目前企稳于1940(斐波那契回调位50%)。今日操作以回调低多为主,激进者可先行于1932(斐波那契回调位61.8%)一带布局多单,第一目标位1940、第二目标位1948、止损1926。保守者可等1921(斐波那契回调位78.6%)一带再行介入多单,目标位1940、止损1916。

操作建议:

激进者(Risk Lover) (约1倍ATR止损 1-2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

开仓
open position
止损
Stop-loss
目标
Take-profit
回调做多

buy limit

1932 1926 1940~1948

稳健者(Risk Averter) (约1倍ATR止损 3倍停利)

策略

Strategy

开仓
open position
止损
Stop-loss
目标
Take-profit
回调做多

buy limit

1921 1916 1940

风险提示:以上内容仅供参考,不代表ZFX立场,ZFX不承担根据本文所进行任何买卖操作而导致的任何形式损失。请坚定自己的思路,做好相应风险控制。