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ZFX: 美聯儲提高升息標準 黃金多頭再接再厲? - Zeal Capital Market

ZFX: 美聯儲提高升息標準 黃金多頭再接再厲?

17-09-2020 09:45

基本面:

今(17日)凌晨美聯儲對本年美國GDP預期由-6.5%調整至-3.7%、失業率則從9.3%下修至7.6%,且維持每月購買的資產配置與公債,透露出美聯儲對今年美國經濟的復蘇狀況看法傾向樂觀。消息提振了市場情緒,但也提振了長期美債殖利率,與美指回升聯手抑制了金價的上漲。

ZFX分析師Steven Chen表示,短期內,相信美聯儲未必推出更大力度的刺激政策,穩定了美匯走勢。昨日金價短線上遭到美聯儲〝鴿中帶鷹〞的消息所打壓,不過新通脹框架允諾了通脹可高於2%並持續一段時間,市場預期未來幾年內都難以看到美聯儲會有加息的動作,始終可成為黃金的長期支撐。再者,全球寬鬆貨幣政策與疫情的肆虐,黃金具備抗通脹與避險兩大屬性,將繼續受到投資者的追捧。

技術面:

ZFX: 美聯儲提高升息標準 黃金多頭再接再厲? - Zeal Capital Market

以小時圖觀察,昨日金價在1973一帶遇到賣壓,隨後自日高回落至1957(斐波那契回調位23.6%)一線。於今亞盤時段短線下破1947(斐波那契回調位38.2%)一線支撐,目前企穩於1940(斐波那契回調位50%)。今日操作以回調低多為主,激進者可先行於1932(斐波那契回調位61.8%)一帶佈局多單,第一目標位1940、第二目標位1948、止損1926。保守者可等1921(斐波那契回調位78.6%)一帶再行介入多單,目標位1940、止損1916。

操作建議:

激進者(Risk Lover) (約1倍ATR止損 1-2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
回調做多

buy limit

1932 1926 1940~1948

穩健者(Risk Averter) (約1倍ATR止損 3倍停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
回調做多

buy limit

1921 1916 1940

風險提示:以上內容僅供參考,不代表ZFX立場,ZFX不承擔根據本文所進行任何買賣操作而導致的任何形式損失。請堅定自己的思路,做好相應風險控制。