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ZFX:美国续领失业金人数下降 美油将再次挑战前高 - ZFX 山海证券

ZFX:美国续领失业金人数下降 美油将再次挑战前高

28-08-2020 09:18

基本面:

飓风〝劳拉〞的威胁在26日已将油价推高至3月后的新高,但昨(27日)因市场透露出在供给面上能源将不会出现〝短缺〞的状况,使油价自高点出现了回落。

ZFX分析师Steven Chen表示,美国昨日公布的续请失业金人数已连续四周下降,显示劳动力市场正在康复中,这也间接印证了鲍威尔在昨日谈话间所说的〝除了疫情区域外,经济仍然健康〞,叠加EIA原油与汽油库存数双双连续数周减少的背景下,经济复苏状况良好,预计未来油价将持续上涨。

技术面:

以小时图观察昨日油价上涨受制于43.5一带压力区,并出现了大幅回落至42.4一线,

将25日~26日所形成的上行趋势破坏,于收盘时段在区间42.6~43.3震荡整理。

有鉴于前一波上涨趋势遭到破坏,故将低点前移至21日而高点不变。操作上以回调进多为主,42.3(斐波回调位61.8%)一线之上偏多操作,激进者可尝试在42.6(斐波拉回调位50%)位置先行建立多单。若是跌穿42.3一线水平位,下一支撑位看41.4(100%回调位)。

ZFX:美国续领失业金人数下降 美油将再次挑战前高 - ZFX 山海证券

操作建议:

激进者(Risk Lover) (1.5倍ATR止损停利)

策略

Strategy

开仓
open position
止损
Stop-loss
目标
Take-profit
回调做多

buy limit

42.6 42.3 43

稳健者(Risk Averter) (1.5倍ATR止损2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

开仓
open position
止损
Stop-loss
目标
Take-profit
回调做多

buy limit

42.3 42 43

风险提示:以上内容仅供参考,不代表ZFX立场,ZFX不承担根据本文所进行任何买卖操作而导致的任何形式损失。请坚定自己的思路,做好相应风险控制。