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ZFX: 全球需求疲软 令沙特也削价竞争 - Zeal Capital Market

ZFX: 全球需求疲软 令沙特也削价竞争

09-09-2020 08:58

基本面:

美国劳动节连假的结束,也象征夏季汽油消费高峰期也跟著终止,但据EIA在9月2日的数据显示8月21至28日汽油消耗不如前一周,需求的疲软令原油8月的收官不尽完美,也彰显了油价在这旺季却涨不动的窘态。

ZFX分析师Steven Chen表示,而同样结束汽油消费旺季的还有欧洲,虽然欧洲在5月份时已经率先解封,但近期因法国与西班牙又陷入疫情的泥沼中,令欧洲内陆旅游再次关闭,也间接使得成品油的消耗不尽理想。有鉴于全球需求的疲软,也使沙特在周末时调降了10月出口原油的价格,更令原油价格持续下滑。

技术面:

ZFX: 全球需求疲软 令沙特也削价竞争 - Zeal Capital Market

以小时图观察,昨(8日)油价呈现直线下跌至36一线,目前持续低位整理于36.4(斐波那契回调位0%)至37.1(斐波那契回调位23.6%)之间,显示空头动能强烈,令多头无法形成有效反弹,故今日操作以高空为主,激进者可于37.6(斐波那契回调位38.2%)先行进场,目标37.1、止损38.1。稳健者可于38(斐波那契回调位50%)再行介入空单,第一目标位37.6、第二目标位37.2、止损38.4。

操作建议:

激进者(Risk Lover) (约1倍ATR止损停利)

策略

Strategy

开仓
open position
止损
Stop-loss
目标
Take-profit
逢高做空

sell limit

37.6 38.1 37.1

稳健者(Risk Averter) (约1倍ATR止损1~2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

开仓
open position
止损
Stop-loss
目标
Take-profit
逢高做空

sell limit

38 38.4 37.6~37.2

风险提示:以上内容仅供参考,不代表ZFX立场,ZFX不承担根据本文所进行任何买卖操作而导致的任何形式损失。请坚定自己的思路,做好相应风险控制。