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避险需求持续 美汇重返100大关 - Zeal Capital Market

避险需求持续 美汇重返100大关

03-04-2020 09:22

美国疫情恶化,周四公布的美国上周初请失业金人数暴升至超过660万人,再创纪录高位。市场深信美国经济已进入衰退,同时加剧全球经济大衰退的忧虑。不过,作为避险资产之一的美元,全球经济低迷之时往往受到支撑。

周五欧盘,在重要数据公布前,投资者相当担心这不确定性,美汇指数升至100.5上方。路透对分析师的调查显示,3月份非农就业新增职位或减少10万个。

即使油价上涨,缓解了一部份的避险需求,但难阻美元升势。另外,美元走强下,金价在周五稍稍回落,但因避险需求支撑,仍能徘徊在1600美元上方。

由于美元整体强势,黄金未能确立升势,但美国已经陷入严重衰退,部份投资者仍倾向持有黄金。不过,经济衰退亦会影响市场购买力,对实物黄金的需求很可能随时间而减退,更多投资者亦会倾向持有现金,所以中长线而言,金价或难再有突破。