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金银比历史高位 预示重大危机 - Zeal Capital Market

金银比历史高位 预示重大危机

18-03-2020 08:47

随着全球金融市场动荡,商品之一的白银同样崩溃,虽黄金也较高位跌250美元之多,但幅度明显有别,导致黄金与白银比率(金银比)升至123水平,创下历史新高。

新冠状病毒全球大流行,越来越多国家采取封闭隔离措施,预计对全球经济带来不能避免的伤害,不论亚欧美三地,都受到相当大的冲击,股市以及商品市场首当其冲。

不少分析员注意到,金银比创出历史,同时预示金融市场遇到危机,并可能出现「通缩」问题。分析相信,通常在通胀预期下降的时候,金银比就会上升。通胀预期下降会迫使各地央行减息应对,而低利率会推高金价,同时因经济前景暗淡,对工业需求占比较大的白银,是重大利空。即使通胀预期下降,或甚至通缩,对黄金都是利空,但黄金表现也大多好过白银。