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大行发炮! 进一步调低经济预测 - Zeal Capital Market

大行发炮! 进一步调低经济预测

01-04-2020 07:02

投资银行高盛再度调低美国第二季度经济预测,预计美国经济将萎缩34%之多。高盛指,因肺炎疫情持续打击美国企业,将引发大规模的失业问题,预计美国将经历衰退较早前预期的更严重。高盛早前曾预计美国第二季度经济萎缩24%,因应疫情发展,再调低该评估。失业率方面,高盛预计到本年中期,美国失业率将由之前预计的9%,上周至15%。

另外,标普相对乐观一点,预计美国第二季度经济将萎缩12%,而第二季失业率将有机会升至10%。

目前美国疫情最为严峻,情况未见受控,对经济的影响势必越来越大。总统特朗普就呼吁再推出2万亿美元基建投资计划,以创造就业,刺激经济。