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人行减息 但未能刺激市场气氛 - Zeal Capital Market

人行减息 但未能刺激市场气氛

20-04-2020 09:36

美元兑离岸人民币周一早盘上升,一度升超过100点子,升至7.0870水平。

中国人民银行宣布,下调1年期贷款市场报价利率(LPR)0.2%至3.85%,而5年期LPR则下调0.1%至4.65%,两者都符合市场预期。不过,市场早有预期,因此未对人民币造成太大抛压,亦未对市场气氛有太大影响。

分析普遍认为,中国疫情相对受控,人民币走势转强,但由于全球各地的疫情仍然严峻,经济活动停顿,同样冲击中国经济,人民币短期难有方向。

美欧等地的疫情是否见顶,目前难以判断,是关键所在。即使特朗普指示尽快重启经济,但目前疫情严重下,大多投资者也抱怀疑态度。市场的避险情绪或风险偏好只在一线之差。

特朗普预计,周一将可与国会达成共识,为美国小型企业紧急贷款额外提供3000亿美元,这也一定程度利好市场情绪。不过,油价持续疲弱,加上一连串强差人意的数据,仍会发酵一段时间,压抑风险偏好。