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ZFX: 金價逼近月初高點 或可挑戰2000大關 - Zeal Capital Market

ZFX: 金價逼近月初高點 或可挑戰2000大關

16-09-2020 10:53

基本面:

美國昨(15日)公佈的數據憂喜參半,8月進口物價按月升幅穩定,可預期未來通脹離美聯儲所設的平均通脹2%目標又近一步,而金價未來也將因通脹升溫而進一步走強。

ZFX分析師Steven Chen表示,黃金作為無收益資產,也被當作保值商品,在長期低利率的環境下,未來有關通脹升溫的消息,都可當作利多。另外,8月工業及製造業產出月率都不如預期,同時8月份的產能利用率也不如預期,回到疫情前水平需時,意味美國經濟前景較暗淡,疊加美國抗疫援助資金尚未到位,復甦或面臨停滯。如推升市場避險情緒下,又會提振金價。

技術面:

ZFX: 金價逼近月初高點 或可挑戰2000大關 - Zeal Capital Market

以小時圖觀察,昨日金價出現震盪,最高觸及1972後迅速回測至1950(斐波那契回調位61.8%)一帶尋找支撐,今(16日)亞盤時段,再從1952一線多頭再次發力,目前往1964(斐波那契回調位23.6%)逼近。今日操作以回調低多為主,激進者可等小幅回落後先行於1959(斐波那契回調位38.2%)介入多單,第一目標位1964、第二目標位1969、止損1954。保守者可等1955(斐波那契回調位50%)一帶再行介入多單,目標位1969止損1947。

操作建議:

激進者(Risk Lover) (約1倍ATR止損 1-2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
回調做多

buy limit

1959 1954 1964~1969

穩健者(Risk Averter) (約1.5倍ATR止損 3倍停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
回調做多

buy limit

1955 1947 1969

風險提示:以上內容僅供參考,不代表ZFX立場,ZFX不承擔根據本文所進行任何買賣操作而導致的任何形式損失。請堅定自己的思路,做好相應風險控制。