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ZFX: 世界經濟復蘇力度 將決定油價能否持續上行 - Zeal Capital Market

ZFX: 世界經濟復蘇力度 將決定油價能否持續上行

31-08-2020 10:08

基本面:

ZFX分析師Steven Chen表示,美國目前在供給面上無論是原油或是汽油庫存都連續數周降低,但油價多頭攻勢都欠缺了臨門一腳,上周因颶風襲擊墨西哥灣造成產量的縮減,推動油價創下了今年3月後的新高點,但隨著第三季即將到來,相信各國的經濟復蘇程度也逐漸好轉,如果旅遊業能在9月開始恢復營運,投資人將更加看好油價前景。

技術面:

以小時圖觀察週五(28日)油價上漲受制於43.2一帶壓力區,雖然短線沖高至43.5一線,可惜遭到了空頭的狙擊,使油價持續震盪於區間43(斐波拉38.2%)~43.2(斐波拉23.6%),但多頭動能依舊完善。

有鑒於週五相對高位窄幅區間盤整,今日操作上以回檔進多為主,42.3(斐波回檔位61.8%)一線之上偏多操作,激進者可嘗試在42.6(斐波拉回檔位50%)位置先行建立多單。若是跌穿42.3一線水平位,下方支撐位看41.4(100%回檔位)。

ZFX: 世界經濟復蘇力度 將決定油價能否持續上行 - Zeal Capital Market

操作建議:

激進者(Risk Lover) (約2倍ATR止損停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
回檔做多

buy limit

42.6 42.3 43

穩健者(Risk Averter) (約2倍ATR止損4倍停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
回檔做多

buy limit

42.3 42 43

風險提示:以上內容僅供參考,不代表ZFX立場,ZFX不承擔根據本文所進行任何買賣操作而導致的任何形式損失。請堅定自己的思路,做好相應風險控制。