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ZFX: 全球需求疲軟 令沙特也削價競爭 - Zeal Capital Market

ZFX: 全球需求疲軟 令沙特也削價競爭

09-09-2020 09:10

基本面:

美國勞動節連假的結束,也象徵夏季汽油消費高峰期也跟著終止,但據EIA在9月2日的數據顯示8月21至28日汽油消耗不如前一周,需求的疲軟令原油8月的收官不盡完美,也彰顯了油價在這旺季卻漲不動的窘態。

ZFX分析師Steven Chen表示,而同樣結束汽油消費旺季的還有歐洲,雖然歐洲在5月份時已經率先解封,但近期因法國與西班牙又陷入疫情的泥沼中,令歐洲內陸旅遊再次關閉,也間接使得成品油的消耗不盡理想。有鑑於全球需求的疲軟,也使沙特在周末時調降了10月出口原油的價格,更令原油價格持續下滑。

技術面:

ZFX: 全球需求疲軟 令沙特也削價競爭 - Zeal Capital Market

以小時圖觀察,昨(8日)油價呈現直線下跌至36一線,目前持續低位整理於36.4(斐波那契回調位0%)至37.1(斐波那契回調位23.6%)之間,顯示空頭動能強烈,令多頭無法形成有效反彈,故今日操作以高空為主,激進者可於37.6(斐波那契回調位38.2%)先行進場,目標37.1、止損38.1。穩健者可於38(斐波那契回調位50%)再行介入空單,第一目標位37.6、第二目標位37.2、止損38.4。

操作建議:

激進者(Risk Lover) (約1倍ATR止損停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
逢高做空

sell limit

37.6 38.1 37.1

穩健者(Risk Averter) (約1倍ATR止損1~2倍停利)

策略

Strategy

開倉
open position
止損
Stop-loss
目標
Take-profit
逢高做空

sell limit

38 38.4 37.6~37.2

風險提示:以上內容僅供參考,不代表ZFX立場,ZFX不承擔根據本文所進行任何買賣操作而導致的任何形式損失。請堅定自己的思路,做好相應風險控制。

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