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避險需求持續 美匯重返100大關 - Zeal Capital Market

避險需求持續 美匯重返100大關

03-04-2020 09:22

美國疫情惡化,週四公佈的美國上周初請失業金人數暴升至超過660萬人,再創紀錄高位。市場深信美國經濟已進入衰退,同時加劇全球經濟大衰退的憂慮。不過,作為避險資產之一的美元,全球經濟低迷之時往往受到支撐。

週五歐盤,在重要數據公佈前,投資者相當擔心這不確定性,美匯指數升至100.5上方。路透對分析師的調查顯示,預期3月份非農就業新增職位或減少10萬個。

即使油價上漲,緩解了一部份的避險需求,但難阻美元升勢。另外,美元走強下,金價在週五稍稍回落,但因避險需求支撐,仍能徘徊在1600美元上方。

由於美元整體強勢,黃金未能確立升勢,但美國已經陷入嚴重衰退,部份投資者仍傾向持有黃金。不過,經濟衰退亦會影響市場購買力,對實物黃金的需求很可能隨時間而減退,更多投資者亦會傾向持有現金,所以中長線而言,金價或難再有突破。