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大行發炮! 進一步調低經濟預測 - Zeal Capital Market

大行發炮! 進一步調低經濟預測

01-04-2020 07:02

投資銀行高盛再度調低美國第二季度經濟預測,預計美國經濟將萎縮34%之多。高盛指,因肺炎疫情持續打擊美國企業,將引發大規模的失業問題,預計美國將經歷衰退較早前預期的更嚴重。高盛早前曾預計美國第二季度經濟萎縮24%,因應疫情發展,再調低該評估。失業率方面,高盛預計到本年中期,美國失業率將由之前預計的9%,上周至15%。

另外,標普相對樂觀一點,預計美國第二季度經濟將萎縮12%,而第二季失業率將有機會升至10%。

目前美國疫情最為嚴峻,情況未見受控,對經濟的影響勢必越來越大。總統特朗普就呼籲再推出2萬億美元基建投資計畫,以創造就業,刺激經濟。