{"id":246144,"date":"2021-07-05T09:07:55","date_gmt":"2021-07-05T09:07:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&p=246144"},"modified":"2021-07-05T09:07:55","modified_gmt":"2021-07-05T09:07:55","slug":"zfx%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%8a%e5%91%a8%e5%9b%9e%e9%a1%a7%e5%8f%8a%e6%9c%ac%e5%91%a8%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e5%b1%95%e6%9c%9b20210705-20210711","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/zh-hant\/market-outlook\/zfx%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%8a%e5%91%a8%e5%9b%9e%e9%a1%a7%e5%8f%8a%e6%9c%ac%e5%91%a8%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e5%b1%95%e6%9c%9b20210705-20210711\/","title":{"rendered":"ZFX\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u56de\u9867\u53ca\u672c\u5468\u5e02\u5834\u5c55\u671b(20210705-20210711)"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u4e0a\u5468\u56de\u9867\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94(2\u65e5)\u516c\u5e03\u5e02\u5834\u6975\u70ba\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\uff0c6\u6708\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u53e3\u9304\u5f9785\u842c\u4eba\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u512a\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f72\u842c\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u570b6\u6708\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5247\u9304\u5f975.9%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f5.6%\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u512a\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u53c3\u8207\u7387\u53ca\u5931\u696d\u7387\u7686\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u9019\u8b93\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u8feb\u5207\u5be6\u65bd\u8ca8\u5e63\u7dca\u7e2e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7d0d\u6307\u5c62\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8 \u95dc\u9375\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u8ca1\u5831<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u7d0d\u6307\u5728FOMC\u6703\u8b70\u5f8c\u5c62\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u9019\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\u7f8e\u570b\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\u672a\u660e\u986f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e14\u7f8e\u570b\u6cd5\u9662\u99c1\u56de\u4e86\u81c9\u66f8\u7684\u53cd\u58df\u65b7\u8a34\u8a1f\uff0c\u4e0d\u8ad6\u5728\u5229\u7387\u6216\u76e3\u7ba1\u74b0\u5883\u7686\u6709\u5229\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\uff0c\u800c\u6b64\u6ce2\u4e0a\u6f32\u9084\u6709\u4e00\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u9577\u7684\u8ca1\u6e2c\uff0c\u57287\u6708\u5e95\u5927\u578b\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8\u516c\u5e03\u8ca1\u5831\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u5c07\u662f\u7f8e\u80a1\u4e2d\u7684\u9818\u982d\u7f8a\u3002<\/p>\n

\"(\u7d0d\u65af\u9054\u514b\u6307\u65784\u5c0f\u6642K\u7dda\u5716)\"<\/p>\n

(\u7d0d\u65af\u9054\u514b\u6307\u65784\u5c0f\u6642K\u7dda\u5716)<\/p>\n

\u6280\u8853\u9762\uff1a\u89c0\u5bdf\u7d0d\u63074\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\uff0c\u96f2\u5716\u5feb\u6162\u7dda\u9ec3\u91d1\u4ea4\u53c9\uff0c\u8655\u5728\u96f2\u5c64\u53caEMA120(\u7d2b\u7dda)\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u591a\u65b9\u683c\u5c40\u5f37\u52e2\uff0c\u5efa\u8b70\u7a4d\u6975\u504f\u591a\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u56de\u8abf\u96f2\u5716\u6162\u7dda\u6642\uff0c\u9032\u5834\u5e03\u5c40\u591a\u55ae\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\u91d1\u50f9\u672a\u8dcc \u77ed\u7dda\u9032\u5165\u5340\u9593\u76e4\u6574<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u65bc\u4e0a\u5468\u591a\u6b21\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u4f46\u91d1\u50f9\u672a\u6709\u660e\u986f\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u4e0d\u53d7\u7f8e\u5143\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e26\u672a\u80fd\u5224\u65b7\u9ec3\u91d1\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u50c5\u50c5\u53ea\u662f\u6b62\u8dcc\u56de\u7a69\u800c\u5df2\uff0c\u4e4b\u524d\u6709\u63d0\u5230\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u56e0\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u7e2e\u6e1b\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u4e0d\u5229\u9ec3\u91d1\u9577\u671f\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd1\u671f\u9ad8\u901a\u8139\u72c0\u6cc1\u82e5\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u9ec3\u91d1\u6b62\u8dcc\u5f8c\u51fa\u73fe\u8f03\u5927\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u4e0a\u5efa\u8b70\u4fdd\u5b88\u64cd\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n

\"(\u9ec3\u91d14\u5c0f\u6642K\u7dda\u5716)\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

(\u9ec3\u91d14\u5c0f\u6642K\u7dda\u5716)<\/p>\n

\u6280\u8853\u9762\uff1a\u89c0\u5bdf\u9ec3\u91d14\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\uff0c\u96f2\u5716\u5feb\u7dda\u6162\u7dda\u9ec3\u91d1\u4ea4\u53c9\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u7a7f\u51fa\u96f2\u5c64\uff0c\u4f46\u8655\u65bcEMA120(\u7d2b\u7dda)\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8da8\u52e2\u4e0d\u660e\u78ba\uff0c\u9032\u5165\u9707\u76ea\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5efa\u8b70\u89c0\u5bdf1797-1751\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u6fc0\u9032\u8005\u53ef\u65bc\u5340\u9593\u4f4e\u591a\u9ad8\u7a7a\u64cd\u4f5c\uff0c\u4fdd\u5b88\u8005\u5247\u5f85\u884c\u60c5\u6709\u8868\u614b\u5f8c\uff0c\u518d\u5617\u8a66\u9032\u5834\u64cd\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6216\u77ed\u671f\u56de\u8abf \u7559\u610f\u975e\u7f8e\u58d3\u529b\u4f4d<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u5fa9\u7526\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73fe\u56de\u8abf\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u8a8d\u70ba\u7684\u50c5\u662f\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u6c92\u6709\u8feb\u5207\u7dca\u7e2e\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u9700\u8981\uff0c\u7e2e\u6e1bQE\u662f\u9072\u65e9\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u9019\u6ce2\u56de\u8abf\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u72c0\u6cc1\u800c\u5df2\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u53ef\u8d81\u6a5f\u65bc\u6b64\u6642\u5728\u8f03\u5177\u512a\u52e2\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u5e03\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n

\"(\u6b50\u7f8e\u5c0d4\u5c0f\u6642K\u7dda\u5716)\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

(\u6b50\u7f8e\u5c0d4\u5c0f\u6642K\u7dda\u5716)<\/p>\n

\u6280\u8853\u9762\uff1a\u89c0\u5bdf\u6b50\u7f8e\u5c0d4\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\uff0c\u96f2\u5716\u5feb\u7dda\u6162\u7dda\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4ea4\u53c9\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u8655\u65bc\u96f2\u5c64\u53caEMA120(\u7d2b\u7dda)\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u51fa\u73fe\u6b62\u8dcc\u56de\u7a69\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u5efa\u8b70\u5f85\u8dcc\u7834\u4e0b\u65b9\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\u4e14\u5275\u4f4e\u9ede\u5f8c\uff0c\u518d\u5617\u8a66\u9032\u5834\u7a7a\u55ae\uff0c\u82e5\u53cd\u5f48\u6301\u7e8c\u5411\u4e0a\uff0c\u5247\u53c3\u8003EMA120\u4f4d\u7f6e\u5e03\u5c40\u7a7a\u55ae\u3002<\/p>\n

OPEC+\u6703\u8b70\u5ef6\u81f3\u672c\u5468 \u539f\u6cb9\u6301\u7e8c\u4f9b\u4e0d\u61c9\u6c42<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

OPEC+\u589e\u7522\u6280\u8853\u6703\u8b70\u672a\u6709\u5171\u8b58\u5ef6\u81f3\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u4f46\u4e26\u7121\u6cd5\u963b\u64cb\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff0cOPEC\u79d8\u66f8\u9577\u8868\u660e\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5c07\u6bd4\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u9ad8500\u842c\u6876\/\u65e5\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u82e5\u6709\u56de\u8abf\uff0c\u53ef\u5617\u8a66\u9032\u5834\u5e03\u5c40\u591a\u55ae\u3002<\/p>\n

\"(\u7f8e\u6cb94\u5c0f\u6642K\u7dda\u5716)\"<\/p>\n

(\u7f8e\u6cb94\u5c0f\u6642K\u7dda\u5716)<\/p>\n

\u6280\u8853\u9762\uff1a\u89c0\u5bdf\u7f8e\u6cb94\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\uff0c\u96f2\u5716\u5feb\u6162\u7dda\u9ec3\u91d1\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f8c\uff0c\u8655\u65bc\u96f2\u5c64\u53caEMA120(\u7d2b\u7dda)\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u591a\u65b9\u683c\u5c40\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u9032\u5165\u6f32\u591a\u5f8c\u7684\u6574\u7406\uff0c\u5efa\u8b70\u53ef\u65bc\u56de\u8abf\u81f3\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\u6642\uff0c\u5617\u8a66\u591a\u55ae\u9032\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

FOMC\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\u5c07\u5728\u672c\u5468\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u6211\u5011\u77e5\u9053\u4e86\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5c0d\u65bc\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u53ca\u5229\u7387\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u7d00\u8981\u4e2d\u8aaa\u4e0d\u5b9a\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u95dc\u65bc\u201d\u662f\u5426\u57f7\u884c\u201d\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff0c\u800c\u6b50\u592e\u884c\u9577\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u672c\u5468\u5c07\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u8207\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u884c\u9577\u5c0d\u8a71\uff0c\u9084\u6709G20\u8ca1\u9577\u548c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u9577\u6703\u8b70\u4e5f\u5c07\u5728\u672c\u5468\u8209\u884c\uff0c\u6216\u8a31\u5728\u6b64\u6703\u8b70\u4e0a\uff0c\u5404\u570b\u8ca1\u9577\u6216\u592e\u884c\u884c\u9577\uff0c\u5c07\u91cb\u653e\u51fa\u5168\u7403\u4e00\u540c\u9010\u6b65\u8ca8\u5e63\u7dca\u7e2e\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u539f\u6cb9\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u9664\u4e86\u904e\u53bb\u56fa\u5b9a\u6703\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684API\u53caEIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5eab\u5b58\u5916\uff0cOPEC+\u6703\u8b70\u7d50\u679c\u53caEIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5831\u544a\u4e5f\u662f\u91cd\u9ede\uff0c\u5148\u524dOPEC\u8868\u660e\u4e86\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u53ef\u8207EIA\u80fd\u6e90\u5831\u544a\u76f8\u6bd4\u8f03\u662f\u5426\u547c\u61c9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u6578\u64da\uff1a<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65e5\u671f<\/td>\n\u570b\u5bb6<\/td>\n\u6642\u9593<\/td>\n\u6578\u64da\/\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7\u67085\u65e5
\n(\u9031\u4e00)<\/td>\n		\u6b50\u5143\u5340<\/td>\n15:50<\/td>\n\u6cd5\u570b6\u6708\u670d\u52d9\u696dPMI\u7d42\u503c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15:55<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u570b6\u6708\u670d\u52d9\u696dPMI\u7d42\u503c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u6b50\u5143\u53406\u6708\u670d\u52d9\u696dPMI\u7d42\u503c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:30<\/td>\n\u6b50\u5143\u53407\u6708Sentix\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6578<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u82f1\u570b<\/td>\n\u82f1\u570b6\u6708\u670d\u52d9\u696dPMI<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
OPEC+<\/td>\n21:00<\/td>\nOPEC+\u7e7c\u7e8c\u90e8\u9577\u7d1a\u6703\u8b70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7\u67086\u65e5
\n(\u9031\u4e8c)<\/td>\n		\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9e<\/td>\n12:30<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u806f\u5132\u516c\u4f48\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u8b70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14:00<\/td>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u806f\u5132\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6d1b\u5a01\u53ec\u958b\u65b0\u805e\u767c\u4f48\u6703<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6b50\u5143\u5340<\/td>\n17:00<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u570b7\u6708ZEW\u7d93\u6fdf\u666f\u6c23\u6307\u6578<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6b50\u5143\u53407\u6708ZEW\u7d93\u6fdf\u666f\u6c23\u6307\u6578<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6b50\u5143\u53405\u6708\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u7f8e\u570b<\/td>\n21:45<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u570b6\u6708Markit\u670d\u52d9\u696dPMI\u7d42\u503c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u570b6\u6708ISM\u975e\u88fd\u9020\u696dPMI<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7\u67087\u65e5
\n(\u9031\u4e09)<\/td>\n		\u6b50\u5143\u5340<\/td>\n14:00<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u570b5\u6708\u5b63\u8abf\u5f8c\u5de5\u696d\u7522\u51fa\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u82f1\u570b<\/td>\n\u82f1\u570b6\u6708Halifax\u5b63\u8abf\u5f8c\u623f\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6b50\u5143\u5340<\/td>\n15:15<\/td>\n\u6cd5\u570b5\u6708\u8cbf\u6613\u5e33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17:00<\/td>\n\u6b50\u76df\u516c\u4f48\u590f\u5b63\u7d93\u6fdf\u9810\u671f<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7\u67088\u65e5
\n(\u9031\u56db)<\/td>\n		\u7f8e\u570b<\/td>\n00:00<\/td>\nEIA\u516c\u4f48\u6708\u5ea6\u77ed\u671f\u80fd\u6e90\u5c55\u671b\u5831\u544a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u7f8e\u570b<\/td>\n02:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u806f\u5132FOMC\u516c\u4f486\u6708\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u7f8e\u570b<\/td>\n03:30<\/td>\n\u4e9e\u7279\u862d\u5927\u806f\u5132\u4e3b\u5e2d\u535a\u65af\u8482\u514b\u767c\u8868\u8ac7\u8a71<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u7f8e\u570b<\/td>\n04:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u570b\u81f37\u67082\u65e5\u7576\u5468API\u539f\u6cb9\u5eab\u5b58<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n07:50<\/td>\n\u65e5\u672c5\u6708\u8cbf\u6613\u5e33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6b50\u5143\u5340<\/td>\n13:45<\/td>\n\u745e\u58eb6\u6708\u5b63\u8abf\u5f8c\u5931\u696d\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16:00<\/td>\n\u5fb7\u570b5\u6708\u672a\u5b63\u8abf\u7d93\u5e38\u5e33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19:30<\/td>\n\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u516c\u4f48\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u7f8e\u570b<\/td>\n20:30<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u570b\u81f37\u67083\u65e5\u7576\u5468\u521d\u8acb\u5931\u696d\u91d1\u4eba\u6578<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u7f8e\u570b<\/td>\n23:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u570b\u81f37\u67082\u65e5\u7576\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5eab\u5b58<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7\u67089\u65e5
\n(\u9031\u4e94)<\/td>\n		\u82f1\u570b<\/td>\n14:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u570b5\u6708\u4e09\u500b\u6708GDP\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u82f1\u570b5\u6708\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u7522\u51fa\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u82f1\u570b5\u6708\u5b63\u8abf\u5f8c\u5546\u54c1\u8cbf\u6613\u5e33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u82f1\u570b5\u6708\u5de5\u696d\u7522\u51fa\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6b50\u5143\u5340<\/td>\n14:45<\/td>\n\u6cd5\u570b5\u6708\u5de5\u696d\u7522\u51fa\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u884c\u9577\u8c9d\u5229\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u9577\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u9032\u884c\u5c0d\u8a71<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u9577\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u767c\u8868\u8ac7\u8a71<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n20:30<\/td>\n\u52a0\u62ff\u59276\u6708\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u6578<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u7f8e\u570b<\/td>\n22:00<\/td>\n\u7f8e\u570b5\u6708\u6279\u767c\u92b7\u552e\u6708\u7387<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n\u5f85\u5b9a<\/td>\nG20\u8ca1\u9577\u548c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u9577\u6703\u8b70\u8209\u884c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u95dc\u65bc\u00a0<\/strong>ZFX \u5c71\u6d77\u8b49\u5238<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n