The dollar index dropped back to around 90 level as the Fed released its dovish signal. The greenback made a new low against those riskier currencies, like the Aussie, Sterling, Loonie and Kiwi. As Powell reiterated on Wednesday that the Fed would not adjust the easing policy until the US economy has clearly improved, the greenback turned weaker. While the safe-haven dollar slipped, sensitive sentiment changed to “risk-on” again.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 1.39% above, another new high since Feb 2020. ZFX analyst Jacob Leung said that, again it would be a “warning”. High yields in long terms mean less “easy borrowing” and of course, it will attract the market money back to the bond markets from equities.
Bitcoin hit a fresh record high above $52000 level on Wednesday. This valuable cryptocurrency is now still trading at $52000 level above in Asian session on Thursday despite the rebound of the greenback, while some analysts start to warn that the surge might be unsustainable, and the major investment banks also appear to be warning about bitcoin’s volatility.
The overall European stock markets were in red in early trading session. Global investors are still closely watching the latest moves in the Treasury yields after digesting all the market news and analysis. Analysts believe that the positive expectations in the market would drive “money” into the equities from the low-rate bonds. However, some are on the other hand struggling that the higher yields could prompt investors back to the bond markets, sparking selloff pressure of stocks.
The retail investors success is now continuing to draw the attentions in the stock market. Although it is not clear how long this hot wave of WSB can last, the forum is bound to continue to select new targets in the future, so-called WSB concept. This week, silver price gapped up in the opening session and has touched $30 per ounce after WSB calling.
Despite a bounce-back session, dollar maintains at a relative high level, that dollar index is hovering near a seven-week high on Tuesday. This safe-haven is benefited from a euro selloff overnight. One of the reasons is that lockdowns over those European countries are proved to hurt the economy, showing in the Germany retailing figures of Dec.
Shares in Asia-Pacific were nearly all bearish on Thursday, following the risk-off sentiment overnight on Wall Street. All three major indexes of Wall Street dropped sharply on Wednesday, all over 2% loss. The Fed left its benchmark interest rate near zero and kept other policies unchanged, as widely expected, but traders felt like a bit negative towards about it. Some analysts believe that investors actually expected “more” from Fed and now the overall optimism in the market is faded out.
On Monday, stock markets in Asia-Pacific, especially HK HSI, were higher as the market sentiment is still positive towards President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus packages. However, European stocks are trading mixed as the counterparts in the US are just moving slightly, reflecting cautious views over the markets.
Overnight, all three major indexes of Wall Street were up, of which the Dow rose to a new closing high, the S&P 500 gained around 1.4%, and the Nasdaq jumped almost 2%. Shares in Asian markets generally closed up on Thursday, following the Wall Street record highs overnight. The European Stocks also climbed a bit in early trading session, reflecting bullish outlook of those investment markets.
Investors expected that the new US government may consider to raise tax to solve part of the budget deficit due to such massive fiscal support, that on the other hand may weaken the recovery of the US economy and the effectiveness of the current monetary policies. ZFX analyst Jacob Leung said that it would be a “trade-off”. If Biden’s tax policy is implemented, the dollar’s outlook will be a bit different. And in turn, the whole market sentiment may not be that bullish.