Gold price was the other focus on Monday as it tumbled over 5%, as much as $100 per ounce, after the positive development result. The sell-off pressure was mainly related to the risk appetite in the whole financial market, that significantly lower the safe haven demand for Gold. Furthermore, the news lowered the dovish expectation from Fed, even the other central banks, a more aggressive approach in the monetary policies, boosting the greenback. The dollar index bounced back from around 92 level, steadied at around 92.7 on Tuesday.
On Friday, investors are cautious watching the final results from the US election, even the early birds have already bet on Biden’s win these two days. Based on the latest record, Biden has racked up 253 electoral votes, closed to the White House. Few battleground states such as Arizona and Pennsylvania are the focus so far, and the prediction is favored to Biden side.
ZFX analyst Jacob Leung said that, the weak dollar showed risk-on condition in this moment, but be aware that it may be a very volatile week, especially the NFP is coming ahead, and the arguments regarding the US election have arisen.
ZFX analyst Jacob Leung said that, the market may be reacting on Trump’s win. The first thing we can expect is that the China-US tensions may be rapidly escalated next year, no matter in economic, political, military and technological aspects.
In FX market, the performance of the greenback was mixed as well. Hopes on the relief bill lowered the safe-haven demand in the market while those riskier currencies like Aussie was favored with such situation, bouncing to 0.7130 level above. On the other hand, the talk of the EU-UK deal was still uncertain, weighing on sentiment over the Euro and Sterling.
Over these days, there were no new market watch in the financial market. Generally, markets were running in a ranging pattern, with no bullish or bearish driver dominated. Of course, the US election is the most eye-catching. The coming Presidential debate is the key focus this week on 22th Oct. ZFX analyst Jacob Leung said that, it would be a “super” battle as it is the last debate. The recent polls showed that Biden’s support was weakened by the “email scandal＂of his son, Hunter Biden. Investors are paying close attention to the issues and how the coming polls is going.
Overall, market sentiment is cautious. Traders are reviewing the risks over those issues like the UK-EU talks, the rapid spread of coronavirus, and the progress toward the US stimulus. The dollar strengthened as investors are seeking the haven currency. Dollar index hit 93.9 last night. Countries in Europe are now reimplementing lockdown measures to tackle with the surging coronavirus cases, hurting the sentiment over Sterling and Euro.
Last week, the whole market was dominated by the news surrounding the Congress and relief bill in the US. Trump suddenly stopped the negotiation, causing the drop of the markets last Tuesday, but resumed it quickly. Up to now, the White House may propose a $1.8 trillion plan, which is more likely to make the deal with the Democrats. However, some Republicans are concerning about the nation’s debt and this offer may be unfavored to the coming presidential election.
Such bad news took a hard hit to Wall Street on Tuesday. The Dow closed down 1.34%, the S&P 500 lost 1.4% and the Nasdaq dropped the most, 1.57%. In the earlier US trading session, all three indexes were higher as investors were optimistic over the stimulus package, especially under the severe coronavirus outbreak situation.
Global markets reacted well after the news. All three major indexes of Wall Street bounced around 1.6%-2.3%. The dollar, which was deemed as the “only” safe-haven recently, was weaker against those riskier currencies on Monday. At least, the return of Trump has lowered the political uncertainties in the short term.